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Ravens Insider: Ravens vs. Commanders Week 6 betting guide: Picks, predictions and odds


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It’s been years since the Washington Commanders (4-1) were involved in one of the most highly anticipated NFL games of the week, but that’s the case when the NFC East leaders visit the Ravens (3-2) on Sunday. It doesn’t hurt that the game pins two of the most exciting quarterbacks in the NFL against each other.

Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson has the better professional resume, which makes sense given his years of playing experience. Jackson is a two-time Most Valuable Player Award winner, leading the Ravens to a winning record every season as the franchise’s starting quarterback. He’s rushed for over 5,500 yards, as he’s closing in on Michael Vick’s record for most career rushing yards by a quarterback at 6,109.

Washington’s Jayden Daniels is no slouch, either. The reigning Heisman Trophy winner is off to a blazing start in the first five games of his NFL career, completing a league-best 77.1% of his passes. Daniels holds the fifth-shortest odds to win NFL MVP (+1100 on FanDuel), a remarkable feat for such a young player. Jackson holds the second-shortest odds (+650) behind only Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes (+230).

Daniels is the most popular bet to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, with 22% of bets placed on FanDuel in the award’s futures market being on the Commanders rookie, according to a FanDuel spokesperson. Daniels is the heavy favorite to win the honor, currently holding odds of -250.

Sunday’s game is more than just a stellar quarterback battle, though. It’s a showdown between two division leaders who play home games in the same state. While the on-field rivalry hasn’t been much over recent years, fans in the region are particularly excited for this game. The interest carries over to bettors, too. More bets have been placed on Ravens-Commanders than any other NFL game this week as of Thursday afternoon, according to a DraftKings spokesperson.

What are the odds?

John Harbaugh’s squad is nearly a touchdown favorite against Dan Quinn’s bunch.

Spread: Ravens -6.5, via FanDuel

Total: 51.5 points

Baltimore moneyline: -300 (wager $300 to profit $100)

Commanders moneyline: +245

On the season, the Ravens are 3-2 against the spread, while the Commanders are an impressive 4-1. Minnesota is the league’s only team that has covered the spread in every game this season, as the Vikings are a perfect 5-0.

Ravens make a statement

The Commanders have been phenomenally fun with Daniels at quarterback. Still, there’s a gap between the teams.

Baltimore is the second-highest rated team this season on Pro Football Focus, and the Ravens are second in DVOA. The Ravens have the makings of a Super Bowl contender, with a collapse against the Raiders and a last-second incompletion the two faults keeping this team from being 5-0. As for the Commanders, they have wins over the Giants, Bengals, Cardinals, and Browns. Those teams are a combined 6-14 this season. The Commanders are winless against teams with winning records, losing to Tampa Bay by 17 on the road to open the year.

Two of Baltimore’s three wins came against teams currently with winning records, including a 35-10 blowout of the Bills and a win over the Cowboys in which they led by 22 points in the fourth quarter. This game is understandably being hyped as a game of the week, but can the Commanders hold up against one of the best teams in the NFL?

Best bet: Ravens -6.5

Have a news tip? Contact Bennett Conlin at bconlin@baltsun.com, 410-332-6200 and x.com/BennettConlin.

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