I think for out of division ties, it goes to conference record after head-to-head. We are looking kinda shaky in the AFC this year, unfortunately. Edit: After conference record, it is Common games, minimum of 4, which they (Texans) would have the advantage over us, simply because they beat Cincy. We basically need them to lose at least 1 of their remaining AFC games, while we have to sweep Pitt and beat Oakland (and try really hard not to lose to NFC, obviously).