Pats have Hou, KC, and Buf as real competition left.
Ravens have Bill and Cle and Pit as eh competition. I can see 2 losses left for NE and 1 at the most for bmore. That leaves it at 13-3 and home field all the way through.
It isn't GB or Dal. I think NO is starting to slide. It is probably between Sea and SF in the NFC.
KC is the only threat in the AFC. That could well be the AFCC.